The Economics Ahead – Blog

  • Private Credit Is Rewriting the Economics of Bank Intermediation

    What Happens When Banks Originate Risk They No Longer Need to Own A Future Banking Economics examination of customer ownership, asset ownership, RWA, distribution, contingent liquidity and external capital dependency. The future question is… Continue reading

  • Stablecoins Are Becoming a Banking Economics Question

    What New Forms of Money Could Mean for Deposits, Payments and Bank Funding A Future Banking Economics examination of liability architecture, reserve design, customer flows, funding quality and strategic choice. The strategic question is… Continue reading

  • The Cost of Waiting

    Why Structural Change Appears in Strategy Before It Appears in ROE Why financial performance can remain strong after structural economics have begun to move, and why the cost of response rises as strategic optionality… Continue reading

  • The Bank Workforce Is Becoming an Economic Variable

    Why the Future of Banking Productivity Is About More Than Headcount How human work, decision throughput, organisational friction, specialist capability and external labour are changing the economics of the future bank. The future workforce… Continue reading

  • Capital Will Decide What Kind of Bank You Become

    Why RWA, RAROC and Scarce Balance-Sheet Capacity Will Shape Future Strategy Why capital is more than a regulatory buffer, how marginal RWA economics shape growth, and why the capital a bank preserves may matter… Continue reading

  • Where Will Banks Earn in 2035?

    The Migration of Banking Profit Pools How financial value is moving across lending, payments, transaction banking, wealth, private credit, distribution and capital ownership, and what that means for the economic positions banks should choose… Continue reading

  • The Next Banking Cost Curve

    Why the Economics of Operating a Bank Are Being Rewritten Cost efficiency can improve while structural cost position deteriorates. This article examines how technology, shared infrastructure, operating-model redesign, scale, resilience and ownership architecture are… Continue reading

  • When Payments Stop Belonging to Banks.

    The Economics of Customer Ownership in an Open Financial System As payments become shared infrastructure and financial information becomes more portable, the bank can retain the account while losing part of the economics that… Continue reading

  • Deposit Franchise is Changing.

    Why the Future of Bank Funding Is About More Than Deposit Growth A Bancly Future Banking Economics publication examining how deposit stability, price sensitivity, transaction primacy, mobility and new forms of money can alter… Continue reading